Every summer, cartoons are naturally indispensable. Since the re-release of Miyazaki Hayao’s Spirited Away, there have been many animations released so far, such as Pet Secret 2, GG Bond’s Unbelievable World, Mobile Suit Gundam NT, Night of Destiny-Goblet 2, etc. Except for Spirited Away, most of them have no splash. However, it can be boldly predicted that after the domestic cartoon Ne Zha is released, it will definitely rewrite the layout of this year’s summer cartoon; Especially in the case that several blockbuster movies have been withdrawn, Ne Zha will do more.

Ne Zha poster. Nezha in the poster is a transformed Nezha, who is usually not so handsome.

Ne Zha has a good production team. The director is jiaozi, born in 1980s. Although he only directed two short films "The Boss’s Woman" and "Hit, Hit a Big Watermelon" before, 40,000 people scored 8.6 points in "Hit, Hit a Big Watermelon". The main producer of the film, Caitiaowu Film, has also produced animation masterpieces such as Big Fish Begonia, Great Protector and Great World before.

On the announcement, Ne Zha also took the point-and-shoot strategy. On July 13th and 14th, it was only a small-scale film, and the word-of-mouth was more than that of Return of the Great Sage. The film quickly launched a larger-scale screening nationwide from July 17th to July 21st, and the good word-of-mouth continued to ferment. Many viewers believe that compared with The Return of the Great Sage and The White Snake: The Origin, Ne Zha has made a fundamental leap from text to audio-visual language.

Is this "rainbow fart"? Frankly speaking, after the trailer was released, many people were generally not optimistic about Ne Zha. There were many bad reviews on the douban, and they vowed to say, "If the bad film is booked, the box office will be forgotten." Because of Nezha’s painting style in the trailer-it’s really "ugly" (of course, it smells good afterwards). Even at the beginning of the film, the blinding modern light design and a strong "Trump" made people think that it was a bad film. But if you stick to it, your prejudice will be broken-and as it happens, this is also a theme of this movie.

Just looking at the forecast and materials, you will find Nezha very "ugly", although you will find him very "cute" after watching the movie.

As a classic figure in China’s ancient legends, Nezha has many film and television images. What kind of Nezha image did Ne Zha portray? Why does Ne Zha represent a step forward in domestic animation?

The Evolution of Nezha’s Image

Attentive viewers will find that from the first Asian animated feature film Princess Iron Fan (1941) born in China to White Snake: The Origin, which received rave reviews in early 2019, the development of Chinese cartoons has always drawn nutrition from ancient myths and legends in China, and "Westward Journey to the Universe", "Godly Universe" and "White Snake Universe" are important creative sources for the development of film and television dramas. This is actually consistent with Disney’s strategy of constantly remaking some classic fairy tales: fairy tales, myths, legends, etc. have a huge audience base, and both continuation and innovation can attract widespread attention.

Nezha is one of the most influential mythological images in China, and also one of the most common images in domestic cartoons. As soon as the prelude of "It’s him, it’s him, it’s him, our friend Nezha Jr." rings, it is estimated that more than half of the post-80s and post-90s will hum.

In 2003, the 52-episode animated film The Legend of Nezha influenced countless post-80s and post-90s. The theme song "Young Hero Little Nezha" has a high degree of nationality.

It is generally believed that Nezha, who is from Indian Buddhism and whose full name in Sanskrit is Naluo Jiupo or Naqijufalo, is the third prince of Vishamun King (it is also said that he is related to Vishamun King between grandparents and grandchildren). Nezha is a dharma protector in Indian Buddhism, belonging to the hag god system. His duty is to assist the Visha King in defending the dharma, eliminating evil and protecting the world. With the introduction of Buddhism into China, the oral legend of Nezha was introduced into China after the Han Dynasty.

The dharma protectors in Buddhism are generally ferocious, in order to highlight their hatred, bravery and strength. The same is true of Nezha, who has three heads and six arms. In Buddhist scriptures, "anger" is often used to describe Nezha’s personality. According to the tripitaka, Nezha’s "White Buddha’s Word" says, "I uphold Buddhism, and I want to capture and bind the wicked or have a bad heart. I guard the king’s ministers and Baiguanliao day and night. For those who kill Daling, we will wait for Nezha to stab them in the eye and heart with a golden staff. If you are a monk or nun, you will be beaten on the head with a diamond rod. "

So, how did Indian Buddhism come to Nezha to become a China figure? Scholars pointed out that Nezha’s image evolved with the evolution of Li Jing. Probably in the Southern Song Dynasty, the famous Li Jing of Sui and Tang Dynasties evolved into the King of Pishamen, and naturally, the son of the King of Pishamen became the son of Li Jing. This also created conditions for the further evolution of Nezha’s image.

Through two famous fantasy novels of Ming Dynasty, The Journey to the West and Romance of the Gods, Nezha was gradually shaped and deeply rooted in people’s hearts. In The Journey to the West, Nezha has been included in the Taoist immortal system. He has changed from a Buddhist god to the son of the heavenly commander of the Taoist Jade Emperor, King Tota, and is also an important god of war of the Jade Emperor. Nezha’s image in the novel is, "The little boy was born with a strange appearance and was very lean. The whole thing is: the jade face is as charming as a full moon, and the square mouth of the lips shows silver teeth. The eyes are bright and the beads are violent, and the forehead is wide and the hair is bun. Embroidery with dancing wind and colorful flames, brocade robe reflecting the sun and releasing golden flowers. Ring tapestry burning climbing mirror, Baojia Huihui lining combat boots. How magnificent it is to be quiet, and to protect Nezha for three days. " Here, Nezha is a lovely but angry child.

Li Jing and Nezha in the 86 edition of The Journey to the West, Nezha hand-held Gankun circle.

In the Romance of Gods, Nezha was further "Taoist". He is the spiritual bead of the Taoist founder Yuan Shi Tian Zun, reincarnated as the son of Li Men in Chentangguan, and helped Jiang Ziya destroy the Shang Dynasty and prosper the Zhou Dynasty in the next life. Nezha’s temperament became more and more "angry", he ignored authority, was unrestrained, and had a strong rebellious spirit. He called the Dragon King an "old loach", killed Li Gen, and drew the tendons of Ao Bing. Nezha is still with his parents because of filial piety. After the incarnation of lotus, his image is "two lotus flowers are now incarnated, and Lingzhu II is out of the dust. Portable purple flame snake spear treasure; Step on jinxia hot wheels. The leopard skin is safe in the world; The people are blessed in the red brocade. The sages of the past dynasties are the first, and the historians have written a thousand years. " He became the demon-subduer and the god of water-saving in the system.

After that, Nezha’s artistic image generally followed the setting of The Journey to the West and The Romance of the Gods. Whether Nezha played a supporting role, such as the cartoon "Make a scene in Heaven", The Journey to the West in 1986, or Nezha became the protagonist, such as the cartoon "What a scene" and "The Legend of Nezha", Nezha was mainly a child/teenager with a "angry" personality or cute and daring.

Nezha in the 1979 edition of What’s the Sea?

Nezha in Lotus Lantern Prequel is probably the cutest version of Nezha in the live-action version.

As for Nezha’s famous story of cutting meat and boning bones, there are also different interpretations, or as recorded in the novel The Journey to the West, "His father, the King of Heaven, was afraid of future troubles and wanted to kill Nezha" (resisting feudal patriarchy), or as recorded in The Romance of Gods, "One man acts as one man, and I kill Ao Bing, so I should pay for my life, and there is no reason why I have children to implicate my parents" (expressing filial piety and embodying the heroic spirit of self-sacrifice).

"the magic boy came to the world"

The cartoon Ne Zha is more influenced by the novel Romance of the Gods, but it only draws lessons from the basic relationship between characters, and the specific plot and personality of the characters have been greatly changed, with a high originality index.

The origin of the story is that the aura of heaven and earth gave birth to a "mixed bead" with great energy, and the mixed bead was refined into "spirit bead" and "magic pill" by the Buddha at the beginning, and the "spirit bead" was reincarnated as a human being, which was of great use; The "magic pill" will give birth to the devil, which is a disaster for the world. The Buddha of the Yuan Dynasty started the curse of Armageddon. Three years later, the thunder will come and destroy the magic pill. Real Taiyi, a disciple of the Buddha at the beginning of the Yuan Dynasty, was ordered to entrust the spirit bead to Nezha, the son of Li Jing in Chentangguan.

However, by mistake, Lingzhu and Magic Pill were switched, and Nezha, who was supposed to be the hero of Lingzhu, became the devil in troubled times … This created two strong suspense: Nezha, who was supposed to be the reincarnation of Lingzhu, became the reincarnation of Magic Pill. What should he do? Three years later, it was doomed by lightning. Can Nezha overcome fate?

Although he was reincarnated as a magic pill, Nezha was not born with great magic, and he was as innocent as a blank sheet of paper, but prejudice destroyed him. There is also a scene in the movie: Nezha, who ran from home to the street for the first time, wanted to play shuttlecock with a little sister, but when people found him, they shouted in horror and several friends threw things at him. They thought that Nezha was a magic boy.

The people are full of prejudice against Nezha and are very resistant.

Nezha was ostracized, discriminated, hated and hurt by everyone. Even with his family, he just wanted to isolate him. Excavate asked that Nezha should not be allowed to leave the house; Even though his mother dotes on him, she can only sigh helplessly, "Maybe this is her life."

Nezha’s parents also chose to "accept their fate."

Is this really fate? Nezha was unhappy, dissatisfied and unhappy, but the heavy shackles of fate-or, more precisely, the exclusion of all the people around him-trapped him firmly. His choice was: OK, since you think I am a monster, I will honestly be a monster. He is mischievous, broken pots and broken falls, doing evil and causing trouble. From time to time, I have to go out and make trouble, so that Chen Tangguan can make trouble.

Therefore, when Nezha appeared, he gave the impression that he was a Xiong Haizi and a little devil. It is no wonder that the image created by the film looks ugly: short, with severe dark circles under his eyes, frustrated, and always pretending to be cool when walking.

Ne Zha’s script structure is a typical "three-act structure" in Hollywood, and the audience can completely predict the ending of the story: Nezha, who was regarded as a magic boy at first, will definitely become a prodigy to save all beings after several twists and turns (there are not many spoilers here). He shouted, "It’s up to me to say whether it’s a magic or a fairy", "My life is up to me" and "If my fate is unfair, I will fight him to the end". What magic pills are reincarnated as magic children and what can’t escape lightning in three years? Fuck you!

Nezha doesn’t believe in life.

If the film is just like this, maybe you won’t notice anything special about Nezha. After all, the themes of breaking the binary opposition between good and evil, resisting fate, and making my own destiny are not uncommon in Nezha-related film and television dramas, and the theme of many chicken soup movies is precisely this.

What’s so special about Nezha?

An unprecedented Nezha.

I think that Nezha in Ne Zha is unprecedented because the writers and directors have injected a tragic core into him-you think he is hot, fried and cool, but he is lonely, fragile and helpless inside; You think this is a winner’s story, but it is also a story of "ordinary people" and "losers". "Angry" Nezha has a soft heart like ordinary people.

It is not difficult for the audience to see the shadow of Stephen Chow’s comedy from Ne Zha, and director jiaozi once said that he is a fan of Stephen Chow. Not only are there some comic images (like a bearded rough man with a girlish voice in the movie), but also some comic scenes (funny shit and urine). More importantly, the image of Nezha also continues the core of Stephen Chow’s comedy-comedy is tragedy. Borrowing a summary of Stephen Chow’s films by film critic Mei Xuefeng, "At the core of Zhou Xingchi’s films, at the core of that tragedy, a lonely man lives in his heart with a simple child, who is ignored by the secular world and silently and ridiculously adheres to his ideals."

Many expressions of Nezha in the film are reminiscent of many movie images of Stephen Chow. Maybe there is some reference in animation modeling?

Just like Nezha in the movie sang, "I am a little monster, carefree and free, killing people without blinking, eating people without salt." Is he really free and easy? He is desperate for approval, desperate for it. So when he finally got his first friend, Ao Bing, he was extremely happy and cherished (Nezha and Ao Bing kicked shuttlecock at the seaside, and they all had the appreciate each other feeling of "I raised you" in king of comedy); So when Li Jing tricked him into being the reincarnation of Lingzhu, he immediately devoted himself to doing good, killing demons and removing demons …

Nezha and Ao Bing should have a batch of CP powder.

Just like the little people in Stephen Chow’s movies, they have a humble dream; But once the cold world rejected their dreams, they also chose to trample on themselves while the world trampled on them. So Nezha said, if you think I’m a monster, I’ll be a monster. His self-indulgence seems to abuse the people in Chentangguan, and it is also self-abuse.

His abuse and self-abuse reflect the coldness of the world, just as the dragon king said in the movie, "People’s prejudices are like a giant mountain, no matter how hard you try, you can’t move them." Or more profoundly, the cruelty comes from the hands of Yuan Shi Tian Zun, who represents the feudal authority-the focus of "being born as a demon, so what" is not the burning of "so what", but what makes you think that some people are "born as a demon"? Assuming that Nezha and Ao Bing didn’t save the people in Chentangguan, are they doomed to be demons and be spurned in prejudice?

"Born to be a demon, so what?" focuses on the first half or the second half, which means completely different.

Nezha in Ne Zha has a self-protection skill acquired in cruelty-each of us has developed this skill: pretending not to care, pretending to be free and easy, pretending to be indifferent, pretending to be unsociable, pretending to be a bad person … At the moment of life and death in the movie, Nezha told his family that today is my birthday party, and none of you are allowed to cry. This is a moment of tears. But this moment also reflects to some extent that Nezha is still habitually protecting himself in his heart: What if you don’t cry when I leave? Therefore, he can only "strike first" and make everyone stop crying.

The burning of Ne Zha’s "My life is up to me" will impress many people, but if we go deep into it, it hides another narrative: how a person who has been abandoned by the world’s indifference and is extremely eager to identify with himself carefully guards his inner innocence and how to humbly please and live in prejudice. This may be even more worrying.

This film is not a simple "mourning" that can be summarized. Behind the hippie smile, it has real cruelty and pain.

Learn the domestic animation of "telling stories"

Over the past few years, The Return of the Great Sage, The Big Fish Begonia and The White Snake: The Origin have all gained a lot of praise, but they also criticized the voice, mainly focusing on: the story is too weak.

In fact, domestic animation had a glorious moment. After the Shanghai Animation Film Studio was formally established in 1957, it opened the golden decade of domestic animation. There is even a saying of "China Animation School" in the world animation circle, which refers to "a batch of animation works with distinctive China characteristics that originated in 1950s, matured in 1960s and harvested in 1970s and 1980s". The most classic in the history of animation in China, Make a scene in Heaven, was also born at this stage.

After the twists and turns in 1970s and the short revival in 1980s, Chinese cartoons fell into a long recession after 1990s, and the domestic animation market was basically monopolized by Japanese cartoons and Hollywood cartoons. Until recent years, domestic cartoons slowly rose, with several excellent cartoons almost every year. However, compared with Japanese or Hollywood cartoons, domestic cartoons still have a big gap. The technical gap has been continuously eliminated, and the core gap still lies in the ability to "tell stories".

The story, first of all, is reflected in the most basic, you have to have a beginning and an end, be fluent, have content and stand up. Although Ne Zha continues the legend of Nezha, his originality is extremely high, which not only reshapes the relationship between Nezha and Li Jing, Ao Bing and others, but also makes the images of Li Jing, Ao Bing and Shen Gongbao full, three-dimensional and moving as never before. Ao Bing and Shen Gongbao are the other side of Nezha, but they face different cruel choices. Aobing and Li Jing in the movie should be able to circle a large number of fans.

Secondly, it is the level of imagination. The media form of animation determines that it can contain imagination to the maximum extent, not worrying about not being able to present imagination, but worrying that you have no imagination and make animation technology useless. Many details in Ne Zha, such as the shuttlecock, the map of mountains and rivers, and the three-dimensional pinball, such as the action design and visual presentation during fighting, can make the audience fully feel the flying and gorgeous imagination.

The movie animation design is exquisite and amazing.

The level of storytelling ability is ultimately reflected in the level of values. A good story is both universal and advanced. Just like the cartoon "Where is the Sea?", it was amazing. Under the background of that time, how shocking was it to cut the flesh and bone and return it to the father?

At present, the core competitiveness of Hollywood cartoons is that they are too good at telling stories. The audience of cartoons is suitable for all ages, and its stories can be eaten by all ages. Children see one meaning, while adults can see another meaning. For example, in Zootopia, the whimsical animal world can bring joy to children. At the same time, the film’s mapping of politics and power makes adults relish it.

Generally speaking, the storytelling ability of domestic cartoons is still relatively weak, either too young, or too much emphasis on the so-called "adult orientation" and lack of balance. In this context, Ne Zha may be regarded as a small step forward in domestic animation, which tells a story that is not difficult to understand, but also tells a story with depth.

"People’s prejudices are like a giant mountain, no matter how hard you try, you can’t move it." People also have many prejudices about domestic animation. Ne Zha will "move" the huge mountain of prejudice, which deserves our support by buying tickets.

[Specially published by Shanghai Literature and Art Review Special Fund]

　　Let farmers buy chemical fertilizers with zero down payment, and create a "fat baby" direct sales model through installment payment. A group of young people who are interested in "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" founded Nanjing Agricultural Staging E-commerce Co., Ltd., and promoted it in more than a dozen counties in Anhui this year. Farmers enthusiastically ordered nearly 10,000 tons of chemical fertilizers. At present, this "agricultural staging" is extending its tentacles to many chains of the national agricultural productive service industry. With the deepening of supply-side structural reform in rural areas and the widespread development of agricultural and rural entrepreneurial innovation activities, new kinetic energy for agricultural and rural development is surging everywhere, which has effectively promoted agricultural efficiency, farmers’ income and rural greening.

　　Since last year, priority has been given to the development of agriculture and rural areas. All localities and relevant departments have insisted on expanding new industries and formats and cultivating new subjects as an important starting point, and strengthened policy creation. The rural economic development has shown great vitality, showing a diversified promotion pattern of multi-mode promotion, multi-agent participation, multi-mechanism connection, multi-factor exertion and multi-format creation.

　　The agricultural product processing industry is improving steadily. From January to September last year, the agricultural products processing industry above designated size realized the main business income of 15.3 trillion yuan, and realized the total profit of 968.9 billion yuan, up 9.1% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 5.2 percentage points year-on-year. The proportion of deep processing of agricultural products in agricultural products processing is constantly expanding, and the level of coordinated development with primary processing and comprehensive utilization processing is constantly improving. Agricultural products processing has become a pillar industry of agricultural and rural economy.

　　Leisure agriculture and rural tourism are growing by leaps and bounds. The supply structure of leisure agriculture and rural tourism is more optimized and the factor resources are more active. As of last year, leisure agriculture and rural tourism had reached 330,000 business entities, with an operating income of nearly 550 billion yuan, and the whole industry showed a "blowout" growth trend.

　　The integration trend of rural primary, secondary and tertiary industries is obvious. Through the integration of agriculture and trade logistics, the industrial extension types such as storage and preservation, central kitchen, direct supply and direct sales, and personal customization have been born. Through the integration of agriculture and culture, education, ecology, health care and other industries, creative agriculture, educational agricultural parks and other functional expansion types have been born; Through the integration of agriculture and information industry, new technology penetration types such as online agriculture, smart agriculture and agricultural crowdfunding have been born. Through the integration of agriculture and urbanization, the types of integration of production and city, such as characteristic towns and pastoral complexes, have emerged.

　　Rural entrepreneurial innovation has flourished. There are more and more new subjects in agriculture and rural areas. As of last year, there were 7 million entrepreneurs, more than 14 million new professional farmers and 2.9 million new business subjects. 82% of the dual-innovation industries returning to the countryside are integrated industries, covering many fields such as characteristic breeding, processing and circulation, leisure tourism, information services and e-commerce; More than 54% of the dual-creative subjects use modern information technology such as the Internet, and 89% of the dual-creative subjects are entrepreneurial and joint ventures.

　　

In recent years, the national economy has developed rapidly, and everyone’s income has also increased to a certain extent. It is very helpful for them to have a scooter for their daily commute. The richness of a car configuration is related to the user’s car experience, so many people are concerned about its configuration today. Let’s take a look at it next.

First of all, from the appearance, the front of Xingyue L looks very delicate and unforgettable. Headlights are very domineering, in line with the "taste" of young consumers. The car is equipped with LED daytime running lights, automatic opening and closing, adaptive far and near light, delayed closing and so on. Coming to the side of the car body, the size of the car body is 4795 mm * 1895 mm * 1689 mm. The car adopts domineering lines, and the car body feels very deep. With large-sized thick-walled tires, the shape is quite simple and generous. In the rear part, the rear of the car echoes the front of the car, and the taillights are very deep. Together with the unique exhaust pipe, it is very cute.

In terms of interior, the interior looks very fashionable and the overall shape is remarkable. The car’s steering wheel design is very round, equipped with the functions of manual steering wheel up and down+front and rear adjustment, and the shape is young. Let’s take a look at the central control panel with a 12.3-inch touch-sensitive LCD, which makes the interior style impressive and looks very young. Let’s take a look at the dashboard and seats again. The dashboard of this car presents an avant-garde design style and looks very sharp. The car uses leather seats, which are wrapped in place and the overall comfort is acceptable.

The car is equipped with car networking, driving mode selection, remote control key, Bluetooth key, UWB digital key, rear wiper, interior atmosphere light and other configurations, and the configuration performance is passable and basically satisfactory.

What’s your main impression of this car after reading the whole article? The model class introduced today is the most considered class when many people buy their first car, mainly because the size of this class is moderate and the price is reasonable.

As the Spring Festival approaches, gold is once again hot. In the shopping mall, you will find that the price of gold jewelry has soared to more than 400 yuan a gram! Looking at the international gold market again, affected by the situation in the Middle East and various "black swan" incidents, gold has soared to $1,600 per ounce, setting the highest value in seven years!

Is it necessary to add gold in 2020? There is a paragraph that says: "When the weather is sunny, the proportion of physical gold in the family asset portfolio is at most 1%; But if you consider ‘ A certain president ’ The proportion should be raised to 5%. "

So, how do you view the current gold market?

"When the cannon rings, there are two thousand gold."

At the beginning of 2020, the United States suddenly attacked Iranian officers, and the situation in the Middle East escalated, which made the global gold market almost crazy, breaking through the key point of $1,600 per ounce and hitting a new high in the past seven years.

In other words, there are "three treasures" in the rise of gold: dollar, liquidity and geopolitical conflict. Nowadays, the global economy is weakening, many countries are caught in the tide of interest rate cuts, dollar assets are at a high level, and the conflict between the United States and Iraq is gaining momentum. The world is facing a major change that has not been seen for many years. Under various uncertain factors, risk aversion is rapidly heating up and gold prices are rising sharply. Some analysts even pointed out that the price of gold is expected to rise above the historical high of $1,900 per ounce in 2011.

Figure 1: Gold price trend in 2019, source: Oriental Fortune Network

Let’s lengthen our observation point of view. Since the 1970s, every geopolitical turmoil has been accompanied by a short-term rise in gold, such as the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, the Iran-Iraq war, the Gulf war and the Iraq war (as shown in Figure 2) … … It can be seen that gold is a good safe-haven variety. Can we take the house when we start fighting? But a few gold bars can be taken away if you want, and can be used all over the world, because gold is universal equivalent and the world currency.

Figure 2: 1968 & mdash; Influence of geopolitical conflict on gold price in 2011, Source: CITIC Construction Investment Research.

Careful readers find that although gold has an upward trend in the short term after the geopolitical conflict, it cannot reverse the trend of greater dimension and longer cycle.In other words, 1980 — In 2001, wars were frequent, but the gold market experienced a cyclical big bear market for 20 years. The international gold price dropped from 600 US dollars/ounce in 1980 to about 270 US dollars/ounce in 2001. In 20 years, the price of gold halved and fell by more than 50%. Therefore, it is risky to take war or conflict as a gold investment decision.

To analyze the deeper reasons behind this round of 20-year bear market is a more reliable way to decide gold investment. As we all know, the last 20 years of the 20th century was the "golden age" of global economic growth. The tax reduction reform and information technology revolution led by the United States took the lead in getting rid of the trouble of economic stagflation and created the innovation dividend and the bull market in the capital market that continued to recent years. During this period, the average annual growth rate of the American economy reached about 3.5%.

At the same time, another big country, China, started the reform and opening up, with an average annual growth rate of more than 10%. In other words, during this period, the rate of return on investing in China and the United States, whether it is the stock market or the property market, is far better than that of gold. Smart money is allocated to assets other than gold.

When considering large-scale asset allocation, the investment community will use the famous "Merrill Lynch Clock" investment model. According to the explanation of this model, when the economy recovers, the returns of the stock market and the property market are greater than gold; In the stage of economic stagflation and recession, the investment value of gold is highlighted again.

The "Kondratiev Long Wave" in the cycle theory also shows that gold assets will enter a long-term bull market with the long-wave (50-60 years) recession as the starting point, and obtain significant excess returns in the supermarket during the recession period of 5-10 years.

In terms of data, after 2001, the United States experienced the Internet bubble and the real estate bubble successively, and the economy fell into recession, with an average economic growth rate of less than 2%, while gold experienced a bull market, which rose to $1,500 per ounce, a fivefold increase (as shown in Figure 2).This angle proves that gold is an enemy of economic growth, but a friend of economic recession.

Since 2018, the world has lowered its economic growth expectations. Under the catalysis of risk events such as trade friction, Brexit and the Middle East crisis, the safe-haven value of gold has soared together with the price of gold.

"Gold does not create value!"

At the end of the year, many people will buy some gold for the Spring Festival and send it to their relatives, friends and elders. Judging from the domestic gold price, we still remember that a few years ago, gold was only more than 200 grams, and the incident of Chinese aunt robbing gold was impressive. Recently, gold has risen to 400— 450 yuan, one gram. Those who buy early must "earn" So, is the future gold still worth buying?

Let me start with a "sad" conclusion: in the long run, gold has little investment value.

Warren Buffett is not optimistic about gold investment. In 2009, he made an interesting metaphor, comparing gold with stocks. He said: "Coca-Cola’s stocks can make money, and Wells Fargo’s stocks can also make a lot of money. It’s much better to have a goose that can’t stop laying eggs than a goose that can sit there and spend insurance and inventory. " Goose that can lay eggs is a stock that will pay dividends continuously. The latter kind of goose refers to gold. Holding gold can’t earn interest or dividends, but it needs to pay a high storage fee.

Look at a clearer set of data. Professor Siegel of Wharton Business School collected the performance of various financial assets in the United States for more than 200 years and drew the following chart.

Figure 3: 1802 & mdash; In 2002, the return of $1 invested in various assets, source: The Long-term Magic Weapon of Stock Market, Siegel.

The data clearly shows that one dollar invested in the US stock market is worth 704,000 dollars after 200 years, which is 700,000 times. Investing in gold, 1 dollar becomes 4.52 dollars.Siegel commented: "In a long time, gold can protect investors from the impact of inflation, and there is no other role."Siegel’s famous research method and final conclusion have been widely confirmed by many countries and become a yardstick of asset allocation today.

In the long run, the only asset that can beat the inflation rate is stock assets. However, many people must doubt that, since American stocks make so much money, why are China stocks always trapped? Of course, there are chronic diseases in the China stock market itself, and there are also improper choices of stock targets by retail investors. For example, assets such as Maotai, the "wine gold", cannot be excavated.But a key problem lies in "not being able to hold" good stocks and not holding high-quality assets for a long time.

Although gold has no investment value. But gold also has an irreplaceable side. It does not guarantee that you will get rich, but it can guarantee that there will always be meat to eat! For example, in the 1990s, if you held 100 yuan, you could buy 20 Jin of pork, but in 2019, you could only buy 3 Jin. But if you have been holding 100 yuan’s equivalent gold, you can still buy pork of similar weight today.

Siegel’s explanation and data are very convincing, but there is a key question, that is, how long is the long term? Keynes said, "In the long run, we are all dead." Who will hold gold for 200 years? How to grasp the present is the problem that everyone is more concerned about.

Gold, infatuation and confusion

Standing at the threshold of 2020, global economic turmoil, weak growth and inflation are coming … … Such a big environment is in line with the common sense that "jewels are hidden in prosperous times and gold is bought in troubled times". However, this strategy is too rough. According to the above analysis, it is not difficult for us to conclude that gold has the dual attributes of currency and commodity. To judge the trend of gold price, it needs to be comprehensively deduced in big logic according to different attributes and perspectives of various dimensions.

In the long run, the operation of gold price shows certain regularity with the fluctuation of global economy. We need to recognize whether the present is the end of the last round of growth cycle or the eve of the new industrial revolution. In addition, monetary credit has a long-term law, that is, after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1971, the exchange relationship between gold and the US dollar has changed from 35 US dollars/ounce to 1,600 US dollars/ounce today.

The international community is increasingly dissatisfied with the long-term depreciation of the US dollar. Gold, the "anchor of money" for thousands of years, has been recognized again. In fact, in recent years, many central banks have greatly increased their gold reserves as a tool for credit hedging, which also constitutes the upward pressure of gold from the demand level.

In the medium term, gold, as a precious metal, has commodity attributes and global liquidity. From quantitative easing after the crisis to the era of negative interest rate under the tide of global interest rate cuts, it is expected that the prices of various commodities will rise strongly.

In the short term, global risk appetite is the core factor affecting the fluctuation of gold price, especially the world’s concern about geopolitical turmoil.

It can be said that even the cleverest brain can’t give an accurate judgment on the trend of gold prices, but a three-dimensional and multi-dimensional observation perspective helps us get closer to the real situation.

Ironically, when summing up his investment achievements, Buffett told a metaphor of "ovarian lottery": "I have excellent conditions in all aspects, a good family environment, and my parents are very intelligent and go to a good school. These are very important. But I was born in a good place at the right time, and I won ‘ Ovarian lottery ’ 。”

Buffett’s main wealth accumulation was realized in a good era of rapid economic development in the United States, and he made the right investment at the right time and place — — Stock assets share the growth dividend. Another important reason is that he lived long enough, and 99% of his wealth was realized after the age of 50. From a long-term perspective, the "ovarian lottery theory" may enlighten our gold investment.

Gold will always make people obsessed and troubled, greedy and fearful. Perhaps this is the charm of gold.

Today, Jun Jun saw the 2024 Spring Festival movie.

Mermaid 2, Fengshen 2 and Nezha 2 may all be released. ….

Absolutely king fried!

1. Heavy Rain

Release date: January 12th.

Recommended index:★★★★★

The director of "The Great Protector" doesn’t think about new works.

The film is about a man.childsteamed breadLooking for my father’s fantasy adventure story.

A drum-playing ship that has been sunk for many years is bizarre in this world, and it is rumored that there are treasures on it.

Steamed bread came to treasure with his father, but his father was forced into the ancient ship of the undead by a big shot.

In order to save his father, the steamed bread boarded the ship, only to find that there was a hole in it and all kinds of "actors" were found. …

In an accident, the steamed bread was told that there were only dead souls on the drum boat. ….

"The world is unfair, and the heavy rain falls fairly, but it falls to different lives."

Large-scale adult animation has metaphors about reality.

2. Mermaid 2

Release date: February 10th (tentative)

Recommended index:★★★★

A sci-fi comedy created by Master Xing.

After the first film was released, it hit a box office peak of 3.4 billion yuan.

Although the word of mouth is not satisfactory,But the audience remembered many famous scenes in the film.

Director Stephen Chow,Starring Jelly Lin and Allen, starring in a comedy, but alsoI brought it.Space elements.

Have to say, let Jun Jun have so little expectation.

3. "Nezha’s Devil Children Make a Sea"

Release date: undetermined

Recommended index:★★★★

Director jiaozi Ne Zha sequel

In the first film, "I am a little monster, carefree and at ease", Nezha, a magic boy, is deeply loved by everyone.

The second story continues the first.

After the Armageddon, Nezha and Ao Bing kept their souls, and Taiyi real people remolded their bodies with seven-color Pauline, but this process encountered many difficulties.

On the other hand, the Dragon King of the East China Sea is plotting a revenge plan with other kin, and Nezha is sure to fight with the Dragon Kings.

4. Article 20

Release date: February 10th.(tentative)

Recommended index:★★★★

Zhang Yimou directs a new film.

Also known as:Self-defense,Article 20 of the Criminal Law is about"justifiable defense"Yes.

The movie is about "right of self-defense"Cases with huge differences.

It is said that this film was inspired by"Yu Huan humiliated his mother" and "Kunshan anti-killing case”。

Realistic movies, the cast is also very explosive, which is worth looking forward to.

5. "Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man"

Release date: undetermined

Recommended index:★★★★

Tsui Hark directs a new film.

XukepaiThe trilogy of condor shooting, this is the first one.

The Mongolian army went south to destroy the Song Dynasty, and Guo Jing (Sean Xiao), as the representative of the chivalrous man, rallied the strength of the Wulin in the Central Plains to defend Xiangyang for the country and the people.

Sean Xiao plays Guo Jing, Zhuang Duffy plays Huang Rong and Tony Leung Ka Fai plays Hong Qigong.

The film became a hit before it was broadcast, because it was a classic remake and controversial.

6. The Movie Emperor

Release date: February 10th.

Recommended index:★★★★★

Director Ning Hao+Andy Lau starred in satirical comedy.

Tells the story of Hong Kong’s past.a superstarLiu Weichi (Andy Lau) has been in the cinema for forty years, and he has been longing for the best actor.

He decided to co-produce a rural film with director Lin Hao (Ning Hao), thus winning an international reputation at the film festival.

I heard that the plot is full of all kinds of satire in the entertainment circle.I don’t know how many insiders it will contain.

7. Heroes of Dunhuang

Release date: February 10th (tentative)

Recommended index:★★★★★

The Longest Day In Chang’an director Cao Dun+Ma Boyong personally wrote the script.

True historical background-The story of Shazhou (formerly known as Dunhuang) returning to the Tang Dynasty 1100 years ago.

After the Anshi Rebellion, Shazhou was invaded by Tubo, and all the guards were sacrificed.

More than 60 years later, Zhang Yichao, a Chinese citizen, led the military and civilian uprising in Shazhou, and finally overcame all difficulties and returned to the Tang Dynasty.

This forgotten historical story is worth reading!

Zhang Yu, Shawn Dou, Lei Jiayin, Zhu Yawen … The cast is strong!

Originally scheduled to be released in December 2023, it is reported that the Spring Festival file will be changed.

8. Pegasus 2

Release date: February 10th.

Recommended index:★★★★

The first original team

Director Han Han, starring Shen Teng+Andrew+Johnny.

The story continues the first part, in which Zhang Chi, a driving school who wants to lie flat and earn some money, is a sparring partner.

Zhang Chi and his friends reorganized the motorcade and stumbled to Bayinbuluke again.

This time, starring Shen Teng, "including Teng" should be indispensable.

9. YOLO

Release date: February 10th.

Recommended index:★★★★

After Hi, Mom, Jia Ling directed the second film.

Remake from the Japanese movie "Love of Hundred Dollars"

Because of the double blow of love and career, Jia Ling chose to lie flat and stay at his parents’ home.

Because of the conflict with my sister, I feel that I am not allowed by my family.Jia LingMoved out.

After all kinds of twists and turns, she met an unknown boxer and began to choose boxing with him. She was eager to release her grievances and dissatisfaction.

The movie is still very enjoyable. It is said that Jia Ling lost 100 pounds to make this movie.

I don’t know what Jia Ling looks like after losing 100 Jin!

10. Myth 2: Legend

Release date: February 10th.

Recommended index:★★★★

2005 Time-travel film "Myth" sequel

Jackie Chan and Kim Hee Seon starred in the first film, which was a sensation at that time, and was later remake into a TV series (starring Hugh).

And this one stars Jackie Chan, LAY, Gulnazar and Aarif Lee.

The story has nothing to do with the first one, but also tells a love story that travels through time and space.

When Professor Chen, an archaeologist, was with the students in archaeology.Through the ancient times, it started a fantastic adventure.

I feel like I can jump on the street.

11. "Gods Trilogy 2"

Release date: undetermined

Recommended index:★★★★

Sequel to the trilogy of deification

"Feng Shen I: Chao Ge Fengyun" has a good box office and reputation.

The second part is still the original team.

Story connection part one.

Taishi Wen Zhong led Deng Chanyu, Magic Family Four Generals and other Yin Shang armies to the West Qi,Jiang Ziya (Bo Huang) leads Xiqi army and people to break the "Ten Commandments".

There will be a bigger fight scene, and the visual effects should be good. I wonder if the Spring Festival file will be on.

Then the question is coming. Which one do you want to see most?

Welcome to leave a message

　　People’s Forum Network September 9 (Wang Shuang) A good business environment is an important foundation for economic development and an important factor in determining the competitiveness of cities, regions and even countries. On November 1, 2018, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader made a speech at the symposium of private enterprises, proposing that we should do a good job in six aspects of policy measures, create a better development environment for the private economy, help the private economy solve the difficulties in its development, support the reform and development of private enterprises, turn pressure into motivation, let the innovation source of the private economy fully flow in, and let the private economy create generate with full vitality.

　　Chongqing has made some achievements and explored some innovative experiences around promoting high-quality development and thoroughly implementing the new development concept. In order to fully implement the spirit of General Secretary Supreme Leader’s speech on "creating a fair and transparent business environment and promoting the sustained and healthy development of China’s economy", Chongqing Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Government attached great importance to optimizing the business environment. In view of the outstanding problems reflected by the market and enterprises, we deepened the "streamline administration, delegate power, strengthen regulation and improve services" reform as the starting point, reformed and innovated the system and mechanism, further optimized the business environment, and continuously stimulated social vitality and creativity, and achieved good social effects.

　　On September 5 -6, the online theme publicity campaign of "Private Economy and High-quality Development in the New Era" visited Chongqing to discuss how to further optimize the business environment and promote the high-quality development of the private economy.

　　Optimize the government environment and strive to provide more detailed and efficient government services.

　　On March 4, 2016, the General Secretary of the Supreme Leader stressed at the joint meeting of members of the Democratic National Construction Association and the Federation of Industry and Commerce during the two sessions of the National People’s Congress that all localities and departments should refine quantitative policies and measures and formulate relevant supporting measures, so that the policies on encouraging, supporting and guiding the development of the non-public economy can be implemented in detail, so that private enterprises can truly enhance their sense of gain from policies.

　　In recent years, a series of policies and measures, such as Opinions on Comprehensively Optimizing the Business Environment to Promote the Development of Private Economy, Implementation Opinions on Further Creating a Healthy Growth Environment for Entrepreneurs, Promoting Excellent Entrepreneurship and Giving Full Play to the Role of Entrepreneurs, and Several Policies and Measures to Further Support the Healthy Development of Enterprises in the Real Economy, have been introduced one after another, and various municipal departments have also introduced implementation measures. The business environment of the whole city has been continuously improved, and the sense of acquisition of private enterprises has been continuously enhanced.

　　Peng Guangyuan, deputy secretary of the Party Group of Chongqing Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that they have created a good public opinion atmosphere for the development of the private economy by conducting centralized visits to accurately serve private enterprises, solved a number of difficult problems in the private economy, and enhanced the confidence of private enterprises in development; Strengthen contact and cooperation with the political and legal system, and all political and legal departments in the city actively take effective measures to launch a series of policy measures to ensure the healthy development of the private economy in view of the difficulties, pain points and blocking points of private enterprises.

　　"In three days, I got a loan of 200 thousand yuan."

　　Wang Qiaodao, general manager of Chongqing Nandian Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Nandian Technology") talked about the business environment in Chongqing, which was quite emotional. In October, 2011, Nandian Technology was established under the condition of "no funds, no resources and no products". It started its business with a subsidy of 42,500 yuan from Chongqing municipal government and a personal credit loan of 120,000 yuan. In the process of starting a business, government departments at all levels have helped Nandian Technology for a long time. The Science and Technology Commission of Jiangbei District of Chongqing has given support to the application of high-tech products and innovative projects, and the relevant departments of Jiangbei District have given preferential policies and loan application assistance for a long time, which has greatly facilitated the development of local small and micro enterprises. Wang Qiaodao said that after truthfully reflecting the financial difficulties to the local government departments, "the government departments contacted Chongqing Bank on the same day, and in three days, I got a loan of 200,000 yuan. In that year, I developed the second generation of smart helmets, and the company achieved profitability." Nandian Technology has experienced rapid growth this year due to the investment and accumulation in scientific research and development in the early stage. With the support of the government, Wang Qiaodao is full of confidence in the development of the enterprise. He expects that the sales this year will exceed 15 million.

　　Chongqing Nandian Technology Independent Research and Development Product Display

　　Optimizing the legal environment for private entrepreneurs to eat "reassurance"

　　The Central Economic Work Conference held in December 2018 pointed out that it is necessary to enhance the vitality of micro-subjects, give play to the subjective initiative of enterprises and entrepreneurs, establish fair, open and transparent market rules and a business environment ruled by law, promote positive incentives and survival of the fittest, and develop more high-quality enterprises.

　　To create a business environment ruled by law, we must adhere to the rule of law in the operation of power, further transform government functions, fully clarify the relationship between the government and the market, respect the laws of the market economy, and adjust the interests of various market entities within the framework of the rule of law through market-oriented means. By deepening the "streamline administration, delegate power, strengthen regulation and improve services" reform, optimizing public services, promoting the reform of the examination and approval system, we can truly improve administrative efficiency, innovate administrative law enforcement methods, and accelerate the construction of a service-oriented government.

　　Zhou Chengwen, deputy inspector of Chongqing Municipal Market Supervision Bureau, said that Chongqing vigorously promoted intellectual property protection. Strengthen the supervision of intellectual property law enforcement, deploy and carry out the "iron fist" action of intellectual property law enforcement, increase the protection of e-commerce, key commodity trading markets, foreign investment, key people’s livelihood, large-scale exhibitions and other fields, and help 50 enterprises such as Jiang Xiaobai and Yu Xinou to guard against intellectual property risks.

　　At the same time, Zhu Jiang, director of the Department of Economic Restructuring of Chongqing Municipal Development and Reform Commission, said that the construction of the credit system would be further promoted in an all-round way. A credit "red and black list" system has been established in 30 fields, including government procurement, transportation, environmental protection, tax evasion and fraud, and quality violations. A total of more than 330,000 "red and black list" subjects have been identified, and the "red and black list" has been triggered and joint rewards and punishments have been implemented for more than 37,000 times, basically building a big pattern of credit joint rewards and punishments.

　　Yan Hongwei, political commissar of the Economic Investigation Corps of Chongqing Public Security Bureau, stressed that it will serve private enterprises accurately, take serving the development of private economy as an important starting point to build a "pro-"and "clean" political and business relationship and deepen the "streamline administration, delegate power, strengthen regulation and improve services" reform, actively implement measures such as "doing it online", "doing it right away" and "running at most once" to create a high-quality business environment.

　　"Stronger supervision and better service"

　　Zou Yu, executive vice president of Chongqing Hua Xiong Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. stressed that in recent years, there have been three changes in Chongqing’s business environment: one is that the efficiency of functional departments has been significantly improved, and there is no phenomenon of eating and getting cards, and the sense of acquisition and satisfaction of enterprises has been greatly improved; Second, the reform of the administrative examination and approval system has been further promoted, especially in streamline administration, delegate power, strengthen regulation and improve services, where supervision is stronger and services are better, which has stimulated the vitality of the private economy to a greater extent; Third, the technological environment for enterprises’ innovation and entrepreneurship is more open. Chongqing has introduced a series of technologies to encourage technological innovation, which has enhanced the regional core competitiveness.

　　Huang Li, the legal representative of Chongqing Ruigao Medical Industry Development (Group) Co., Ltd., also said that in the process of high-quality development of enterprises, leaders of relevant departments will take the initiative to come to the door to understand the truth and personally study and help, so that enterprises can fully feel the support of the government. Enterprises can settle down and achieve steady development in a pro-Qing political and business relationship environment.

　　Optimize the open environment and stimulate the vitality of market players

　　The General Secretary of the Supreme Leader stressed that it is necessary to do a good job in encouraging, supporting and guiding the implementation of the development policies of private enterprises, especially small and medium-sized enterprises, and to stimulate the vitality of various market players. The main body of the private economy is small and medium-sized enterprises. We have always unswervingly promoted the development of small and medium-sized enterprises, accelerated the improvement of incentive policies for the development of small and medium-sized enterprises, and constantly enhanced the endogenous power of the economy and the vitality of market players.

　　Fu Zonglun, director of the Private Economy Development Service Department of Chongqing Economic Information Commission, said that Chongqing is focusing on "transformation and upgrading" to promote high-quality development. Actively promote scientific and technological innovation, always put scientific and technological innovation in an important position in the transformation and upgrading of industrial economy, guide enterprises to establish R&D reserves, build municipal enterprise technology centers, key laboratories of industry and informatization, and new enterprise R&D institutions, and strive to enhance the innovation ability of enterprises.

　　“Strive for development through innovation and embark on a confident road of innovation and entrepreneurship. "

　　Guided and driven by Chongqing’s "going out" and other foreign investment platforms, Chongqing Zaisheng Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Zaisheng Technology") stepped up the pace of nationalization, invested in Italy’s Simon Fabrizi Company in July 2016, successively set up R&D design centers in Europe, and introduced a series of international technical talents and R&D design teams. With the support of Chongqing’s policy dividend, Zaisheng Technology actually enhanced its brand influence and gradually became global. Zaisheng Technology has maintained a rapid growth trend in recent years. In the first half of 2019, it achieved sales revenue of 616 million yuan, up 11% year-on-year, and net profit increased by 37%. "As a member of the local private economy, it is thanks to Chongqing’s efficient, transparent, fair, healthy and stable business environment that Zhongsheng Technology will seek innovation in development, seek development through innovation, and embark on a confident road of innovation and entrepreneurship." Yang Jinming, vice president of Chongqing Zaisheng Technology Co., Ltd., said excitedly.

　　Zaisheng Technology New Factory Production Line (Photo courtesy of Zaisheng Technology)

　　On November 5, 2018, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader emphasized in his keynote speech at the opening ceremony of the first China International Import Expo that "the business environment is only better, not the best." This has also sounded the clarion call for China to create a world-class business environment in the new era.

　　"Planting buttonwood will attract phoenix habitat". Creating a world-class business environment is an important part of the government’s provision of public services, and it is also an important foundation and key link to achieve high-quality development. With the continuous optimization of Chongqing’s business environment, Chongqing’s private economy will continue to develop steadily.

　　A few days ago, a topic of "My father retired from the family group because no one responded to sharing" attracted public attention and boarded a hot search.

　　In Weibo Middle School, the blogger "@ Zack Zhang Ningningning" shared his father’s story, "My father announced his withdrawal from the family group! Contemporary family ties are broken. " The screenshot of the chat shows that Zhang Dad shares his daily life in a family group of 8 people — — I’ve been drinking for 28 years. But after a day, only my daughter replied.

　　The next afternoon, Dad Zhang sent a message: A family member is a small group that shares emotions, sorrows and feelings. No one pays attention to praise communication. This group has no meaning. Subsequently, he withdrew from the group chat.

　　This Weibo has aroused the emotional resonance of many netizens, and many netizens said that they had similar situations and experiences. "Even if you don’t respond to the sharing link, it is normal to want to quit the group if you share your life seriously but have never responded." A netizen said.

　　On April 28, the Red Star journalist contacted this party, Zhang Dad. He told reporters, "This group was probably established around 2015. It was still very lively when it was first built. After 2019, it gradually cooled down. Sometimes I didn’t respond when I sent a message. I really felt a little lost."

　　▲ The blogger "@ Zack Zhang Ningningning" shared the story of his father quitting the family group.

　　-1-

　　"Dad left the family group."

　　Dialogue I: I feel a little lost after quitting the group, but I also feel unprecedented relaxation.

　　Dad Zhang is 53 years old and lives in Baotou, Inner Mongolia. He is engaged in management. The family group that appeared in Weibo was founded by his brother-in-law in about 2015. "There are three families in the group, my wife, my brother and sister. We have a very good relationship in real life and often make phone calls and voice calls. Later, family groups were established with the aim of strengthening their ties and facilitating communication. "

　　For him, the most lively time in the group was three years after the group was founded. "At that time, people would chat interactively every day, say good morning to each other in the morning, and share their work and life today, so I think it is a good way to build a family group." Dad Zhang said.

　　After the excitement, it was silent. I don’t know when, most of the relatives in the group are in a state of "diving".

　　Dad Zhang said: "In the past, my wife often sent some anti-fraud videos to recommend to everyone, but after 2019, the group suddenly became deserted, and few people sent messages. We shared interesting things and good-looking content, except for my daughter. Few people replied."

　　"I sent a message in the group, and I will definitely look forward to everyone’s response. In my opinion, this is the meaning of family groups. If I sincerely share it but no one replies, my heart will definitely be lost, not to mention the content we share is more meaningful. " Last Sunday, Dad Zhang shared a tweet in the group that "the public security department shot 17 anti-fraud videos in half a year to accurately expose fraud tricks" and expressed the hope that everyone would take the time to watch the videos to prevent fraud. However, after posting this tweet, no one replied. "I was really sad to open the group chat many times but found no reply." Until April 25, a similar situation appeared again, when he chose to quit the group in a rage.

　　▲ Last Sunday, Zhang Dad shared an anti-fraud tweet in the group but no one responded.

　　However, Dad Zhang also expressed his understanding of the "coldness" of the family group. "After quitting the group, some relatives talked to me privately to explain, saying that they were really busy, so they didn’t respond. Now everyone’s work pressure is relatively high, relatives and children of the same generation are very busy at work, and everyone is drifting away because of differences in life, work and experience. "

　　Dad Zhang said frankly: "After quitting the group, I feel more lost in my heart, and at the same time I feel more relaxed than ever, because I don’t have to stare at the group chat all the time and care about whether someone replies to me." In this regard, Dad Zhang said that after leaving the group, he will also use other ways to maintain his feelings with his family. "Our emotional foundation is still there, but in the future, it will be more point-to-point contact, such as talking privately with his brother-in-law, which will not affect the work and life of others."

　　-2-

　　Is your family group still lively?

　　Reporter’s investigation: "lively" is getting farther and farther, and "cold and cheerless" is more common

　　With the rapid development of the Internet and social platforms, a number of WeChat groups based on kinship have been established. In 2018, a survey of 2005 respondents conducted by China Youth Daily Social Survey Center showed that 93.8% of the respondents joined the family WeChat group.

　　Red Star journalists interviewed 10 Chengdu citizens randomly on the street, among which 8 citizens joined the family group and 2 did not, while 8 citizens who joined the family WeChat group all said that "there is little chat in the group except red envelopes" and "chatting only when something happens, and it is usually very deserted". Ms. Chen, a 27-year-old citizen, told reporters, "I have nothing in common with them (relatives in the family group). I have a young group, all of whom are little sisters. I like to chat with them."

　　"Zhang Dad quit the group" caused emotional resonance among many netizens, while many netizens commented that they had similar situations and experiences. "The reporter browsed related topics and found that the family group chat shared by netizens includes but is not limited to these characteristics: the family group with one family as the unit has a high chat frequency, and the group with multiple families often has a low chat frequency; Older people chat more, younger people chat less, and younger people often play the role of echoing and cheering; The content of chatting in the family group is mainly rumors, anti-fraud videos and "chicken soup for the soul".

　　▲ Netizens said that the chat content in the family group is mainly based on rumors, anti-fraud videos and "chicken soup for the soul".

　　At the same time, netizens also commented on many reasons why they don’t chat in family groups. Some people say that dealing with work every day is already a headache, and I really don’t want to reply in the family group after work; Some people say that the title party’s health knowledge and international events shared by the elderly in the group make people have no desire to reply; Some people also say that they are simply not good at expressing themselves and don’t want to speak in family groups, but their relationship with relatives and friends in real life is still very good … …

　　▲ User comments

　　Wechat family group has built a family cultural space in social media, but in fact, more and more people find that family group is not as "lively" as expected, and it has not achieved the expected function of providing contact and interaction platform for relatives in different living spaces.

　　Similar to Zhang’s father’s experience, Zhang Chenchen, who was born in Shandong in 1996, showed reporters a screenshot of the date of a family group’s chat. Her family group only had people chatting for a few days every month, and the last chat was on February 26th, 2021, and the news record stayed on the content of her aunt @ her mother’s dinner.

　　▲ Family group chat shared by Zhang Chenchen.

　　"Before 2019, the link between us and my uncle’s family was weak and the relationship was not good. Later, I thought that there was still a place where we could talk together, so I built a family group." Zhang Chenchen said that at first, families would often share their lives, send out red envelopes and take photos in groups, and sometimes they would have dinner through family groups, but the excitement would only last until May 2020.

　　In Gao Cen’s thirties, family group is just a "cyber space" for Chinese New Year entertainment. "There are 25 people in the group (our family). The news is generally concentrated in the few days of the New Year, sending red envelopes and sending New Year videos. Sometimes there are dozens of messages a day, which is particularly lively." But usually, "cold and cheerless" is more of a state.

　　▲ The family group chat records shared by Gao Cen, the news is generally concentrated in the days of the New Year.

　　Gao Cen is also reluctant to send messages in the group at ordinary times. "I’m very busy at work, and I’m already very tired during the day. When I go home at night, I sometimes see messages from my uncles, all of which are about grabbing tickets and preventing fraud. I can only reply ‘ Roger that ’ I don’t know what else to talk about. Moreover, when I came out to work, to tell the truth, I rarely thought of my relatives in my hometown. It is impossible to chat on my own initiative, and there are few common topics. If we don’t reply, the elders will rarely send messages. "

　　For her, she doesn’t expect to gain emotional value in the family group, and her daily emotional sharing has another way. "I prefer to chat with friends and girlfriends. There are many topics. Every day in the group, the news is ‘ 99+’ . Many people in the family group are elders. They don’t use WeChat very much. If there is an urgent need to contact, they will call directly. "

　　Among the interviewees interviewed by Red Star journalists, the phenomenon of "cold and cheerless" of family groups is almost common. After the initial "hot period" of building groups, most groups will gradually cool down, and their speeches and discussions will gradually decrease, and even eventually become silent.

　　"This may have something to do with the harmony and personality of family members." Respondent Xiao Bai is a cheerful person. In her family, most of her relatives are lively people. "Everyone loves to express and communicate, and they usually walk close. As long as one person speaks in the group, everyone will come out soon. Of course, there are quite a lot of friends around me, and the family group is very weak. "

　　▲ User comments

　　-3-

　　"I feel that the relationship is getting farther away."

　　The Spread of "Weak Relationship" Offline in the Network

　　Watching the family group cool down, Zhang Chenchen felt that it was inevitable that the family group would become cold and cheerless. "The original intention of building a group is to enhance mutual affection. Later, we found that there are still many contradictions in life, and the family will be indifferent, so we can’t use WeChat group ‘ Repair ’ Even chatting is just superficial, so this group is gradually falling apart, and I completely forgot it. "

　　For Zhang Shu in Guilin, Guangxi, the "showing off" and "comparing" of relatives in the group from time to time has become an important reason for him to "shield" his family group. "Because the uncle’s family is superior, he often shows off what kind of good job his son has found in the group, more than money and children. Sometimes we don’t know how to reply to him, and occasionally mentioning our own affairs will be strongly taught by him, so junior students generally don’t speak in the group."

　　Zhang Shu said that if it weren’t for the dissuasion of his family, he might have retired from the group long ago. In their view, everyone is a relative. "Don’t be too embarrassed."

　　▲ Family group chat records shared by Zhang Shu.

　　The reporter found that in these two family groups, the WeChat family group was expected to "repair the relationship". However, in real life, the differences in values between families and trivial life contradictions led to the alienation of family relationships, and the family group, as an extension of family relationships, was gradually deserted.

　　Work group, classmate group, meal partner group … … Family group seems to be submerged in the waves of WeChat group chat, which has become the one that is ignored, but in fact, family group provides a convenient and fast communication platform for relatives far away from the ends of the earth and acts as a network link to contact family.

　　Duan Wenjie, vice president of Chengdu Association for the Promotion of Barrier-free Environment and professor of the Department of Social Work of East China University of Science and Technology, told the reporter that relatives rarely communicate in family groups. From the perspective of sociology, this phenomenon actually reflects the dispersion of the strong and weak relationship formed between people from the real society to the network society.

　　"Specifically, in the real society, due to the long distance between many family members and the lack of intersection in daily life, family feelings are relatively distant and intimacy is insufficient, which is the so-called ‘ A distant relative is better than a close neighbor ’ When encountering difficulties, family members who are far apart cannot provide timely help or provide opportunities for interaction. "

　　▲ Netizens said that family groups with their own families have a high frequency of chatting.

　　Duan Wenjie said that this has also become one of the reasons for the formation of weak relationships among family members. "Even if the spatial distance can be narrowed on the Internet, the emotional distance still exists, and it is often shared in the group but no one responds. In fact, it is the spread of weak relationships in the real society in the network."

　　"Although there are many family groups today, it is very deserted within the group. This phenomenon reflects that with the rapid development of modern society and the explosion of information in the Internet age, everyone’s cognitive level is highly diversified and stratified. Therefore, even in their own family circle, many people still feel ‘ We can’t talk together ’ 。” Analysis of Zhang Chengfeng, a senior family lawyer of Sichuan Mingju Law Firm.

　　In her view, the family is the epitome of society, and the "stratification" in the family is mainly manifested in the following aspects.

　　"The first is the diversification of wealth levels. For example, a family may include the middle class, high net worth people and ordinary people, and the span is very large. Due to the great gap between living habits and cognition caused by family economic conditions, it is also difficult to avoid misunderstandings. For example, ordinary life sharing may be considered as showing off. " Zhang Chengfeng said.

　　"At the same time, because everyone’s growth environment, educational background and professional background are different, they all live in their own circles and form different living habits, behavior patterns and language communication systems. These factors have cast a natural ‘ Barrier ’ 。” According to Zhang Chengfeng, the complexity of this gap on the cognitive level is far greater than others. For example, some people pay attention to the short and trivial parents, while others are more concerned about the international situation. "I don’t care about what you care about, and you don’t care about what I care about. The topics and hobbies between each other are very different, and slowly they become speechless."

　　-4-

　　How to warm up family relationships?

　　Expert: We can start with discussing common topics, family memory and providing emotional support.

　　So how to use the Internet as a "sharp weapon" to enhance the affection between relatives? Zhang Chengfeng said that improvements can be made in the following aspects.

　　"In the face of family affection, we can give full play to our subjective initiative and actively promote and discuss common family issues, such as providing for the elderly, the marriage of the younger generation, family dinners on holidays, etc., to improve the frequency of communication between relatives."

　　She took Zhang Shu, Guilin, Guangxi as an example to analyze. Uncle Zhang Shu’s superior family background and showing off and comparing in the group from time to time made him feel uncomfortable, so this family group was not lively. "But a family group is made up of many people. If the affection is indifferent, the reason is that the two sides have not managed a good relationship together. At this time, what we have to do is to understand, tolerate and accept, actively promote the emotional link between each other, and at the same time promote the development of family relations in a more benign direction. "

　　At the same time, she also stressed that we should not expect too much from family groups. "We need to uphold ‘ Seeking common ground while reserving differences ’ Attitude. Despite the natural link of blood relationship, it is actually very difficult for two people in the family to achieve a high degree of spiritual harmony and nourish each other. Therefore, it is necessary for relatives to talk more about common topics and reduce or avoid conflicts caused by different opinions and viewpoints. "

　　In Duan Wenjie’s view, the "weak relationship" between family members can be transformed into "strong relationship" by adopting different forms, enhancing the frequency of interaction with family members, strengthening emotional ties, increasing intimacy and increasing interest exchange.

　　"For example, sharing valuable content in a family group, discussing topics that can involve other group members, and participating in some interactive games or activities together can enhance the frequency of interaction with family members." Duan Wenjie emphasized that we can also discuss common memories, share the living conditions of the elderly at home, actively respond to others’ sharing, positively praise and comment on family members’ circle of friends, video chat, etc., which can strengthen emotional ties and intimacy.

　　On the other hand, we can also take the initiative to understand the daily life of family members, understand their troubles and difficulties and provide help as much as we can, which is helpful to establish mutually beneficial family relations.

　　"Of course, we can also learn some communication skills to promote communication with family members and provide good emotional and social support for each other." In conclusion, Duan Wenjie believes that under the joint management of family members, we can make full use of the channel of Internet and the platform of WeChat family group, and turn the "cold and distant weak relationship" into a "warm and loving strong relationship".

　　In the eyes of Fan Ping, a researcher at the Institute of Sociology of China Academy of Social Sciences, family groups are actually "blood groups", not necessarily "common life groups" or "interest groups", so the sense of link between them will be weak.

　　"If you want to promote the close connection between family groups, living together is the key. In addition to the ties of consanguinity, families can also establish corresponding social ties besides consanguinity, such as taking care of each other at work and generating economic ties, as the saying goes ‘ Eat in a pot ’ 。” At the same time, we need to pay attention to the scale boundary between family relationship and personal life. Too close family relationship may also bring some "sweet" burdens.

　　Red Star journalist Du Yuquan and Lu Jiayu

Special feature of 1905 film network Three years later, the screen epic hit again!

The film broke through $100 million in six days in North America, and quickly surpassed the total box office of the first film in North America in the first week. After landing in the mainland cinema, Douban scored 8.2, setting the third highest score for the director in the mainland, and its reputation was bursting.

Magnificent classical adventure narrative and top-notch audio-visual production of Hollywood blockbusters, Dune 2 is a movie that truly belongs to the cinema. As the director said, "Dune 2 is all about making the audience get the most shocking viewing effect with the cooperation of the big screen and sound effects, so as to impress them!"

The second part tries to make the audience who haven’t seen the first part understand it basically. The story begins a few hours after the end of the first part. Paul and his mother Jessica blend into the freeman tribe and join hands with them to fight back. On the road of revenge, Paul fell in love with Cheney, but he also foresaw a terrible future and fell into a choice.

The length of 166 minutes, many characters and complicated clues, how to better understand Dune 2? The 1905 movie network specially sorted out the details of 10 knowledge points to help everyone go deep into the dune universe and better understand this film.

(Note: The following contains spoilers, so it is recommended to read them after watching the movie.)

From "dream" to "spice"

The opening words before the first feature film of Dune are: "Dreams are messages from the deep". "Dune 2" also continued the opening way: "Who controls the spice will control the universe" (Power over spice is power over all). These two sentences reflect the different themes of the two films.

The key word of the first film is "dream". Paul’s broken dreams appear repeatedly in the film, and his potential consciousness of predicting the future pushes him to become a "chosen son".

The key word of the second part is "spice". In the world of sand dunes, spices are the most important rare resources, which can help to prolong life, develop the ability of prediction, analysis and calculation, and master the technology of interstellar travel, etc. However, spices are only produced on the planet Elacos, which has become a battleground for all families.

Therefore, the opening remarks of the second part point to the theme of this film, which is about how Paul grew up and seized imperial power.

Regarding the change of the theme before and after, director Villeneuve explained: "In the first movie, we followed Paul to discover a world, which was more meditative, more meditative and more in contact with nature. In the second movie, he became a man, a guerrilla fighter who fell in love and wanted to avenge his father. This is more like an action movie. "

What is Paul thinking?

In Villeneuve’s view, Paul in Dune 2 became a "dark and powerful savior."

He was recognized by freeman people, killed Baron Harkonan in revenge for his father, and won the throne from the emperor, thus completing a wonderful "Revenge of the Prince".

An interesting echo is that in the first part of Dune, the Virgin Helen used "voice control" to make Paul kneel down, and at the end of the second part, Paul scolded the Virgin Helen with "voice control" skills and humiliated her on the spot. This revenge detail points out the transfer and replacement of power.

At the same time, the prophecy tells Paul that the coming jihad will bring chaos and disaster to freeman people, and he faces a moral dilemma. In fact, Paul doesn’t want to be a ruler or be regarded as a savior, but the desire and temptation of revenge drove him into prophecy, and perhaps he also wanted to reverse prophecy, which is his life tragedy and dilemma.

In the second novel of Dune series, it is reflected that Frank Herbert, the author, does not want to portray Paul as a hero who successfully retaliates, but rather wants to tell the cautionary story that the savior was caught in the temptation of imperialism. Director Villeneuve integrated this into Paul in Dune 2 in advance.

Why did Paul have such a huge psychological change? His inner world needs more excavation and explanation in the third part to form a more complete arc of characters.

"Lissan Al Gheb"

Freeman people keep shouting "Lisan Al-Gabe", which means "the voice from the sky". This is their name for the savior. I believe Lisan Al-Gabe will lead his people into a paradise full of oases.

The legend of Lissan Al-Gabe is actually a superstition spread by the sisters of Beni Jessilit. Steiger, the leader of freeman people, also hoped that Paul was a "chosen man" and could lead his people to get rid of oppression and be free. He also made use of religious belief to make freeman people worship Paul crazily, and the means taken by the film to him was ironic with a certain black humor.

The truth about sorority

The Sisterhood of Benny Jessilit unveiled the mystery in Dune 2.

They try to guide the fate of human beings, and through high-quality gene mating from generation to generation, they produce a superman savior with strong predictive ability — — Que Satz Jadraque. Sisterhood is hidden behind the scenes and skillfully manipulates political operations.

The sorority originally planned to let Lady Jessica give birth to a daughter and marry Fred Rosa Harkonan to give birth to a prophet. However, Mrs. Jessica violated the century-old plan of the sorority and gave birth to her son Paul.

After turning herself into a virgin, Lady Jessica used her strength to help Paul become the Lisan Al Gabe in freeman, the prophet Que Satz Jadraque and the emperor of the empire. She and Helen, the top lady of the sorority, are completely on the opposite side.

Mrs. Margo, a new sorority member, approached Fred with the instructions of the Virgin Helen and tried to combine with his genes, thus ensuring that even if Paul was out of control, they could continue their new excellent blood line.

Another emerging character, Princess Ilerang, is the daughter of Emperor Padisha and a disciple of the Virgin Helen. She participated in this political game in order to keep her family in power.

The biggest adaptation of Cheney

Cheney is a very large adaptation of Dune 2 compared with the original work.

In the novel, she is a obedient and silent wife of Paul, who gives birth to a child soon, but unfortunately dies. In the movie, she is the embodiment of strong, independent and free women’s power, and she is not carried away by power and extreme fanaticism.

With Paul’s sincere integration into the life of freeman people, Cheney gradually fell in love with him, but gradually hated everything behind him.

Cheney doesn’t believe in Lady Jessica’s "mental brainwashing" of freeman people, and she doesn’t understand the drama of Paul drinking the water of life and performing "suspended animation" with Jessica. She doesn’t accept Paul’s leading freeman people to wage war as a savior, and she hates these machinations.

The duel between Paul and Fidel is actually a game of mixed power and emotion. Paul not only wants to seize the imperial power, but also takes his life to keep Cheney’s reluctance and love in the duel. But Cheney in the movie is not Cheney in the novel, and she finally turns away.

The first part of Dune begins with Cheney’s narration, and Dune 2 observes Paul’s loss through Cheney’s perspective, and the last scene returns to Cheney. As the screenwriter said, "Cheney represents the freedom of freeman people — — It is not only the freedom to resist colonial rule, but also the freedom to resist prophecy. "

In front of Paul, who obeys fate, and the sisterhood, who manipulates fertility and political games, Cheney is more contemporary and more advanced in female consciousness.

A glimpse of Arya

Aria, Paul’s sister, has only one shot in the movie, but it creates a very surprising and mysterious effect.

Because Mrs Jessica drank the water of life when she was pregnant, she got all the memories of her ancestors and became a real virgin, and Aria in her womb also inherited this powerful force.

In the novel, Aria was born before Paul launched the revenge war, and even she personally killed her "grandfather" Baron Harkonan, instead of Paul in the movie.

In Dune 2, Aria mainly appears as a fetus and talks with Jessica across the abdomen. This visual design can be reminiscent of director Villeneuve’s favorite sci-fi movie ending in the image of a cosmic baby, which may be a reference to pay tribute.

The most complicated scene: Paul riding a worm.

Dune 2 is more complex and grand than the first film Dune. According to patrice Ouimet, the scenery is 40% more than the previous film. And instead of using the first set, it was all redesigned in the desert.

In the film, the imperial garden of Emperor Paddy was set in the Briant family cemetery, which is a masterpiece of Italian architect carlo scarpa and a poetic garden built for the dead. Shooting the emperor’s scenes in the cemetery may indicate the failure of his abdication.

The Briant family never let the crew shoot, even refused the request, but this time it made an exception for Dune 2.

Paul riding a worm is the most complicated scene in the whole film. In the interview, I deeply remember that this is "the 62nd scene, the passage of the worm, which took three months to shoot."

Under Steiger’s guidance and training, Paul successfully harnessed the giant worm, which was like an adult ceremony, showing the dominant power of the "chosen son", and he gradually gained the recognition of freeman people.

Interestingly, behind the scenes, director Villeneuve also demonstrated how to ride a worm, and all the actors who performed riding a worm in the film went to learn from him in advance. Villeneuve said that the last thing he wants to compromise and restore is the scene of riding a worm. "It is very experimental and much more complicated than the paragraphs I have taken in the past."

A unique black-and-white image

The appearance of the villain Fidel Rosa Harkonan and the paragraphs of the arena fighting adopt a very unique black and white image style.

This eerie black-and-white picture highlights the horrible totalitarian atmosphere of the Harkonan family. Translucent skin and deep eyes also highlight the fierce and morbid image of Fidel, which is creepy.

Villeneuve and Greig Fraser, the director of photography, had a lot of discussions about the light source design of the main star of Jadi in Harkonan, and they decided to shoot with the modified infrared camera to create a very surreal black-and-white effect.

On the dark planet Jedi, light does not exist in a way that we can perceive. A visible light cutting filter is added in front of the lens, and an infrared cutting filter is taken out from the camera, so what the camera sees is infrared.

Villeneuve said that the fascist and totalitarian environment of Harkonan gave them the opportunity to create this visual image, which he described as "like an old fascist film of World War II."

Faster rhythm than the first one.

Compared with the first part of Dune, the narrative rhythm of Dune 2 is obviously accelerated.

Editing director Joe Walker won the Oscar for best editing with Dune, and Dune 2 was his fifth collaboration with Villeneuve. He said that the most talked about this time is how to shoot Dune 2 faster and cut it faster.

In addition to making the second film closer to the setting and imagination of "action movie", Villeneuve also said in the interview that he wanted to create motivation in this story, put pressure on Paul and create an internal rhythm in the tense atmosphere of the film.

Especially after Paul drank the water of life and decided to become the spiritual leader of freeman people to launch a war, he could feel the rhythm of each scene getting faster and faster, and he also felt the great pressure on Paul. Villeneuve said, "I need to compress time to create this pressure."

Ongoing soundtrack

"When the first credits appeared, I looked at the book and found that we only got to page 156! Haven’t really started yet … "

The composer said that many of the soundtracks of Dune 2 were written by him at the end of the first part of Dune, and after the first part was filmed, he continued to create music for Dune Universe.

Following the main theme of the first book Dune, the second book can clearly hear Hans Zimmer’s different styles of music for freeman people’s world, Harkonan’s world, the female voice of Benny Jeslitt’s sisterhood, and the love melody of Paul and Cheney. Villeneuve said that he cried the first time he heard the love theme song of Paul and Cheney.

On the second day of filming Dune 2, Villeneuve put Dune 2: Dune Messiah, his second novel, on Hans Zimmer’s desk, indicating that he would continue to compose the music for Dune 3.

From an early age, there are still many unknown suspense in predicting Dune 3 — —

Will Princess Illang, who married Paul, have a plot to assassinate him? Will Mrs. Margot, who made a short appearance, be pregnant with Fred Rosa’s child? Will Duncan, the strongest soldier of the Cui Di family, come back from the dead? What new story line will Cheney leave Paul completely different from the original? How strong will Aria be when she grows up? What kind of messiah dilemma will Paul face? ……

"Dune 2" has more details worthy of the audience to brush and taste, and I hope that "Dune 3" can be filmed as soon as possible and come as soon as possible!

　　[Global Times comprehensive report] "The Syrian army entered Raqqa province for the first time after two years" — — After the Iraqi army concentrated heavily on attacking Fallujah, an important stronghold controlled by the extremist organization "Islamic State" (IS), the battlefield against IS in Syria also received good news. According to Agence France-Presse reported on the 5th, Syrian Human Rights Watch, a British-based organization, said that under the cover of air strikes by Russian troops, Syrian government forces had invaded the eastern province of Raqqa dominated by IS on the 4th, and the front line was 80km away from the city of Raqqa, the capital of IS. In addition, the Syrian opposition and the Iraqi army supported by the United States also launched offensives against IS in different regions.

　　Agence France-Presse said on the 5th that this is the first time that the Syrian army has entered Raqqa province since its fall in 2014. In June 2014, the "Islamic State" announced the establishment of a "country with a combination of politics and religion", won Raqqa from the Syrian opposition and "established its capital" to implement Islamic law. Since then, IS has almost completely occupied Raqqa province. At the end of May this year, the Syrian opposition "Syrian Democratic Forces Alliance" supported by the United States launched a military operation in the northern part of Raqqa province, and IS militants retreated to Raqqa. On June 1, the Syrian government forces also began to launch a recovery operation in Raqqa province. According to the Syrian Human Rights Watch, at least 26 IS elements were killed, and 9 people were killed in the Syrian government.

　　Russian satellite news network said on the 5th that the Syrian army successfully crossed the border of Raqqa province from the southwest with the support of the Russian Air Force. The BritISh Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) said that in the north of Raqqa, the "Syrian Democratic Forces Alliance" is believed to have deployed 30,000 troops to expel IS armed forces. US officials estimate that there are about 3,000 to 5,000 IS militants in Raqqa. According to reports, Russia has promised to cooperate with the Syrian opposition and the United States to attack. On the 4th, "Alliance" continued to approach Mambiji, another important stronghold of IS, and has captured more than 30 surrounding villages and towns. Mambiji, located in Aleppo province in northern Syria, is an important link connecting Raqqa province and the Syrian-Turkish border.

　　Qatar Al Jazeera said on the 5 th that at present, the eastern, northern and western parts of Raqqa province have been surrounded, but the south IS still connected with other important strongholds occupied by IS. Entering Raqqa province is an important progress, but it takes time to attack the city of Laqqa. Raqqa has a vast territory, so whoever holds Raqqa must be heavily guarded.

　　At present, there is no indication that there is cooperation between Syrian government forces and the opposition. Russia’s "Viewpoint" reported on the 4th that it would be of great military and symbolic significance if the city of Raqqa, known as the capital and base camp of IS, could be captured. Sabet Mohammed, a former Syrian military general, said that the occupation of Raqqa would divide the territory controlled by the Islamic State into several parts and cut off the supply of IS militants who surrounded Deir ez-Zor. He said that before the start of government operations, Russian bombers carried out large-scale bombing of IS positions. However, no matter how the situation develops in the future, in addition to the flag of the Syrian government, government forces will never allow the flag of any organization to be raised in Raqqa, including the "Syrian Democratic Forces Alliance".

　　As of the evening of the 5 th, neither the Syrian government nor the Russian official made a statement on the attack on Raqqa. The Global Times reporter saw in Syria that the local media was also very quiet. Therefore, some analysts believe that the low-key of all parties shows that either this news has yet to be confirmed, or the advantage of government forces is very weak. On the 5th, Syrian government forces supported by Russia launched a fierce battle with anti-government rebels in Aleppo. Western media claimed that 16 civilians were killed when government forces launched air strikes against Aleppo, while Russia claimed that terrorist organizations dispatched armored vehicles to shell civilian areas.

　　“‘ Islamic State ’ In the face of four-front operations, the Associated Press issued a document on this issue on the 5 th, saying that IS is facing attacks from four aspects: the Syrian government forces, the Syrian Democratic Forces Alliance, the Syrian rebels and the Iraqi army. Reuters said on the 5th that IS occupied the cities of Raqqa in Syria and Mosul in Iraq two years ago, calling themselves the capitals of Syria and Iraq, and declared that it would rule all Muslims in these areas. Recently, the Iraqi army has attacked Fallujah and Mosul, two major strongholds occupied by IS, and the Syrian army has advanced into Raqqa province in Syria, and IS is suffering a major blow. On the 4th, the Iraqi army announced the control of Sagravia in the north of Fallujah. However, the battle to recover Fallujah has progressed slowly, IS militants have fought back fiercely, and there are still tens of thousands of people trapped in the local area, which hinders the Iraqi army from continuing to advance.

　　The United Arab Emirates newspaper El Pais said on the 5th that the Iraqi armed forces advancing towards Fallujah will encounter strong resistance from IS, but it is widely believed that it is a matter of time before Fallujah is recovered. Fallujah has been the breeding ground of rebellion since the United States overthrew Saddam Hussein’s regime, and the United States and the Iraqi government have never really controlled the city. "Even if Fallujah IS recovered, the time and difficulty of taming the city is no less than defeating IS."

　　On the 4th, Russian newspaper Izvestia quoted Yuri Jining, an expert from Moscow Institute of International Relations, as saying that at present, all factions in Syria face a common enemy. Therefore, moderate opposition Kurds can cooperate with government forces to fight IS. Without the support of government forces, Kurds would be surrounded by the enemy. In order to jointly attack this enemy, the Syrian government has also made some concessions in consideration of the interests of the Kurds.

　　At the just-concluded shangri-la dialogue meeting, the Russian side also raised concerns about the Syrian situation. According to a report by RIA Novosti on the 5th, Russian Deputy Defense Minister Antonov asked the United States to respond to Russia’s proposal on cooperation in Syria at the "Xianghui". Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said in a telephone conversation with US Secretary of State Kerry on the 4th that he was worried about the attempt to delay the resumption of negotiations between the Syrian factions. It is necessary to draw a clear line between Syria’s moderate opposition and the "National Front" terrorists as soon as possible. The complex situation in Syria requires Russia and the United States to jointly fight terrorist organizations.

　　[Global Times correspondent in Syria Yu Xiang Liu Yupeng Ren Zhong]

According to CCTV news client, on May 30, local time, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that a total of eight Ukrainian drones attacked Moscow, but they were all shot down. Three of them were suppressed by the electronic warfare system, and five were shot down by the "Armor -S" air defense missile in Moscow.

According to the Tass news agency, sobyanin, mayor of Moscow, posted a message on the social media platform Telegram that several residential buildings in Moscow were hit by drones on the morning of the 30th, and there were no casualties at present, and the accident situation is under investigation.

Image source: Tass news agency report screenshot

According to RIA Novosti, on the morning of the 30th, a drone hit the top floor of a residential building at No.98 Trade Union Street, and the external wall and glass of the building were damaged. Another drone damaged the outer wall of a 24-story residential building on Atlas Sova Street in New Moscow.

In addition, a resident living in Building 1, No.92 Leninsky Street told RIA Novosti that a drone hit a 14-story apartment. There are three people in the apartment, and no one is hurt. The police have sealed off the building, and ambulances and fire brigades have been dispatched. Another witness said there was no explosion.

According to the Tass news agency, sobyanin said that no one was seriously injured in the attack, and the emergency service department was investigating the incident. "For safety reasons, residents of several entrances and exits have been evacuated, and they can return to their apartments immediately after the emergency service work."

Sobyanin also urged people to trust only official sources and not to spread unconfirmed information.

The Moscow Municipal Transportation Bureau reminded that at present, traffic control is implemented between Leninsky Avenue and Houdar Sova Street in Mikhail Pevtsov Street.

According to RIA Novosti, the Federal Air Transport Agency said that Moscow Airport was operating normally.

According to Russian media reports, the Kremlin, the official residence of the Russian President, was attacked by drones on May 3, causing no casualties. The Russian side believes that the purpose of the attack is to "assassinate Russian President Vladimir Putin" and "Russia reserves the right to take retaliatory measures at the time and place it deems appropriate".

Original title: "Sudden! Moscow was attacked and the scene was exposed.

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